Security-Intelligence

The Israeli Crisis

The Israeli Crisis

By George Friedman
August 14, 2012 |

Crises are normally short, sharp and intense affairs. Israel's predicament has developed on a different time frame, is more diffuse than most crises and has not reached a decisive and intense moment. But it is still a crisis. It is not a crisis solely about Iran, although the Israeli government focuses on that issue. Rather, it is over Israel's strategic reality since 1978, when it signed the Camp David accords with Egypt.
Perhaps the deepest aspect of the crisis is that Israel has no internal consensus on whether it is in fact a crisis, or if so, what the crisis is about. The Israeli government speaks of an existential threat from Iranian nuclear weapons. I would argue that the existential threat is broader and deeper, part of it very new, and part of it embedded in the founding of Israel.

Thirty eight years on, Famagusta remains Turkey’s hostage

Thirty eight years on, Famagusta remains Turkey’s hostage

Famagusta Gazette

14 August 2012

Cyprus marks on Tuesday the 38th anniversary since Turkey’s second offensive against the island in the summer of 1974, which resulted in the occupation of the Republic’s northern third, including the city of Famagusta.

Jordan squeezed as Syrian conflict rages next door

Jordan squeezed as Syrian conflict rages next door

Washington Post

14 August 2012

MAFRAQ, Jordan — Hundreds of Syrian refugees slip across the border near here each night with little more than harrowing tales and occasionally grave wounds. For this landlocked and resource-poor kingdom, the newcomers are fueling new economic burdens and worries that the war next door might spread beyond its own frontiers.

Egypt Lifts a Junior Corps Impatient Over Military Failure

Egypt Lifts a Junior Corps Impatient Over Military Failure

New York Times

14 August 2012

CAIRO — In his purge of Egypt’s top generals, President Mohamed Morsi leaned on the support of a junior officer corps that blamed the old guard for a litany of problems within the military and for involving the armed forces too deeply in the country’s politics after the uprising that ousted Mr. Morsi’s predecessor, Hosni Mubarak.

The World from Berlin 'Egypt's Moment of Truth Has Arrived'

The World from Berlin 'Egypt's Moment of Truth Has Arrived'

Der Spiegel

14 August 2012

President Mohammed Morsi has made the bold and surprising move to disempower the Egyptian military, but many questions still remain about the country's democratic future. German commentators on Tuesday praise his political finesse but worry Morsi may be paving the way for an Islamist state.

China’s Growing Jihadist Problem

China’s Growing Jihadist Problem

By O. Hamid

August 14, 2012

On August 2 2012, security forces arrested 20 individuals from various cities in Xinjiang on charges of terrorism and secessionist activities. The regional government is attempting to take pre-emptive measures against Uyghur groups in the province to ensure that no major terrorist incident occurs before the leadership transition in Beijing in October 2012. While the ability of the Turkestan Islamic Party (TIP) to conduct a major attack in China remains limited, jihadist groups in Pakistan and Afghanistan are increasingly likely to view Chinese assets and personnel as legitimate targets.

Syndicate content