January, 2017 United States

 Mosul Operation


By Mehmet Bildik

Before World War I , Britain had enjoyed almost a century of unparalleled peace and prosperity. Despite rapid advances of Germany, Great Britain remained the most technologically advanced nation on Earth. The scope of the Industrial Revolution and the greatest inventions of the age were making up pax-Britannica.

Trump’s Mideast policy


AUTHOR, Uri Savir

In view of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s February visit to Washington and his meeting with US President Donald Trump, the US administration will soon be confronted with conflicting pressures: Israel on the one hand, and the Palestinians, the European Union and Egypt on the other.

 Trump-Putin safe zones


DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly
Syria stands on the threshold of dramatic changes that will directly impact on the strategic and military situation along the Syrian borders with Israel and Jordan, DEBKAfile reports exclusively. They derive from a deal struck this week by US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin to establish US, Russian and Turkish security zones in Syria. 

Trump era

Smadar Perry

Analysis: So far, the new American president has made no effort to prove that he has a vision. He is a businessman who is out to sell the headline ‘America First.’ Whoever wants to make him offers on issues unrelated to the homeland should take a number, get in line and be ready to pull out their wallet.

Trump  Erdoğan

Murat Yektin
Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan has been staging a quick tour of Africa covering three countries in four days.

Kagan Nuland

Nobody wants them in Trump's Washington
PHILIP GIRALDI 

There is no limit to the hubris driven hypocrisy of America’s stalwart neoconservatives. A recent Washington Post front page article entitled “‘Never Trump’ national-security Republicans fear they have been blacklisted” shares with the reader the heartbreak of those so-called GOP foreign policy experts who have apparently been ignored by the presidential transition team seeking to staff senior positions in the new administration. 

Politics, United States
Ankara Trump


AUTHOR, Semih Idiz

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s inner circle and political supporters in the media continue to vent their anger at former President Barack Obama with outlandishly exaggerated claims, while expressing hope that Turkish-US ties will be much better under President Donald Trump.

Trump presidency

by Pepe Escobar

The Trump era starts now – with geopolitics and geoeconomics set for a series of imminent, unpredictable cliffhangers. I have argued that Trump’s foreign policy guru Henry Kissinger’s strategy to deal with the formidable Eurasia integration trio – Russia, China and Iran – is a remixed Divide and Rule; seduce Russia away from its strategic partnership with China, while keep harassing the weakest link, Iran.

Trumpus Andronicus

By MAXIMILIAN LAU

Comparisons have abounded between historical villains and Donald Trump, but Maximilian Lau finds 12th century similarities that may have a useful message 

Jerusalem


By Prof. Efraim Inbar
BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 398

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Making strategic choices requires distinguishing which issues are urgent and which are important. Right now, the securing of Jewish control over Jerusalem is both urgent and important. Jerusalem carries great symbolic and strategic value for Israel, and Israeli control of the city must be protected.

MUSLIM WORLD


BY ZVI MAZEL 
How will the new US administration impact the age-old Sunni-Shi’ite conflict? Sunnis make up 85% of the Muslim world, with Shi’ite a poor second at less than 15%. Nevertheless, Iran enjoys an advantage because it is the supreme Shi’ite religious and political authority, whereas in the Sunni world, every imam can issue his own fatwas – though there is no general obligation to follow them.

Ankara Trump


AUTHOR  Semih Idiz

Turkey has increased pressure on Washington in recent weeks, as President-elect Donald Trump has been preparing to be sworn in, by openly renouncing the outgoing Obama administration and signaling to the new administration what its conditions for improved ties with the United States will be.

Left-Wing politics vsTrump


By Paul Craig Roberts

One would think the left would support a president so fiercely opposed by the CIA, but, no, Trump is delegitimized as a racist elected by a racist electorate. The hate card overwhelms common sense.

Stephen Hadley

Murat Yektin
Despite being “tested” by problems and “misperceptions,” Turkey-U.S. relations are “not irretrievable” and could be fixed under the presidency of Donald Trump, according to Stephen Hadley, a former U.S. National Security Advisor, speaking after top-level talks in Ankara on Jan. 17.

Trump and Erdogan


Posted By Patrick Cockburn 

 

As Donald Trump prepares for his inauguration, he is struggling with opposition from the US media, intelligence agencies, government apparatus, parts of the Republican Party and a significant portion of the American population. Impressive obstacles appear to prevent him exercising arbitrary power.

National security strategies


Sayed Ghoneim

During the previous decade, several Arab countries faced big challenges such as severe deterioration in economic conditions, education, health, etc. On the other hand, rates of inflation, unemployment, and corruption increased. The increase of ethnic and sectarian disputes, the gap between the ruling elite and the people, political and security constraints, and interference in the …

 Old- New

By Maj. Gen. (res.) Yaakov Amidror 

BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 395

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: President Barack Obama has eroded the US's superpower status and is leaving behind a far more dangerous world than the one he inherited. A Trump administration gives Israel reason to be optimistic, although it must bear in mind that he is a very shrewd businessman.

 Deep State


By Eric Margolis

 "Information Clearing House" - As President-elect Donald Trump fights off fierce assaults by the massed national security apparatus, Democrats, the neocon Praetorian Guard, and a host of other political foes, I am feeling a sharp sense of déjà vu.

Politics, United States
Trump and Ma


By PEPE ESCOBAR

Confrontational rhetoric from the Pentagon and State Department is just noise, writes Pepe Escobar; the real Great Game plotting is on a deeper level

US & Russia  Palmyra

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report 

Some of the ambiguity and mystery surrounding the nature of President-elect Donald Trump’s relations with Russia’s Vladimir Putin may disperse after the new US president takes office Thursday, Jan. 20, because one of their first joint military actions is ready to go.

Rex Tillerson

Murat Yektin
The first concrete words that Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan wants to hear from the Donald Trump administration, scheduled to take office on Jan. 20, came from Trump’s pick for Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, during his Jan. 11 testimony to the U.S. Senate’s Foreign Relations Committee.

Incirlik

Incirlik is routinely unavailable to American troops

by PAUL IDDON
In January 2017, Turkey announced a potential “crisis in confidence” in its relationship with the United States. The two countries have differing objectives in the wider region and disagree signifiantly regarding support for Syrian Kurds fighting Islamic State.

Trump

By Paul Craig Roberts

"Information Clearing House" - “Trump acknowledges Russia role in U.S. election hacking”

If this is not a fake news headline and the Reuters report is correct, Trump is bending to the pressure. http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-russia-cyber-idUSKBN14S0O6

And to no avail. Intelligence officials and Senate leaders say that Trump’s admission is not enough and that he must punish Russia, not establish normal relations.

Trump is being pushed hard to validate the orchestrated “Russian Threat” on which the fortune and power of the military/security complex resides. If this report is not more fake news and Trump continues bending, he will be in the ruling establishment’s hands by the time he is inaugurated.

US Jerusalem

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report 

Exclusive to DEBKAfile: The appointment of Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, 35, as senior adviser in the future White House on Middle East affairs is part of a broader plan taking shape in the president-elect’s transition team for bringing forward a resolution of the Israel-Palestinian dispute. This plan has not yet jelled into concrete policy, but is still a set of ideas under consideration by the team’s insiders, in the light of Trump’s comments past and present.

 Erdoğan calls on Trump

Murat Yektin
One the same day as tense debates started in Turkey’s parliament for a constitutional shift from a parliamentary to a presidential system to grant him more executive power, President Tayyip Erdoğan addressed U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, saying Ankara wanted to make a fresh start in its relations with its ally Washington, which have become stuck in the final years of outgoing President Barack Obama.

Isolationism American tradition


‘Why are we over there?’ is a question asked by working-class and rural families
Bill Kauffman

The presidential campaign just ended was mercifully lacking in the ghostwritten platitudes with which Franklin D. Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy, and Ronald Reagan lull readers of Bartlett’s Familiar Quotations to sleep.