January, 2017 Security-Intelligence

 Mosul Operation


By Mehmet Bildik

Before World War I , Britain had enjoyed almost a century of unparalleled peace and prosperity. Despite rapid advances of Germany, Great Britain remained the most technologically advanced nation on Earth. The scope of the Industrial Revolution and the greatest inventions of the age were making up pax-Britannica.

 Syria Game Change


By Jim Kavanagh

 "Information Clearing House" - "The Polemicist" - The recapture of Aleppo by the Syrian Arab Army and its allies marks a turning point not only in the conflict in Syria, but also in the dynamic of international conflict. For the first time since the dissolution of the Soviet Union, the rolling imperial engine of regime change via American-led military intervention has been stopped in its tracks. 

India-Pakistan Nuclear Standoff


Michael Krepon

Pakistan creates tension with India by ignoring its own problems.

Nuclear dangers are growing in five different regions. The least noticed is South Asia. New Delhi has not been able to figure out how to deal with militant groups that enjoy safe havens in Pakistan. So far, India’s options have been to do nothing after attacks or execute war plans that invite mushroom clouds. 

 Trump-Putin safe zones


DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly
Syria stands on the threshold of dramatic changes that will directly impact on the strategic and military situation along the Syrian borders with Israel and Jordan, DEBKAfile reports exclusively. They derive from a deal struck this week by US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin to establish US, Russian and Turkish security zones in Syria. 

 'Lifestyle Massacre'


by Burak Bekdil
The Gatestone Institute

Last year was no doubt an annus horribilis for Turkey. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said that 1,178 people were killed between July 2015 and December 2016 in Turkey's fight with the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). Bomb attacks by the Islamic State (ISIS) claimed another 330 lives. 

 Moscow Iran Syria ISIS


DEBKAfile Exclusive Report 

Although Vladimir Putin’s spokesman spoke reservedly Saturday, Jan. 21, about Donald Trump’s inauguration as US president the day before – It would be “an illusion” to expect Russian-US ties to be “free of disagreement” – Moscow’s actions in Syria were clearly designed to meet the new US president more than half way.

 After the Fall of Aleppo


by Jonathan Spyer, The Jerusalem Post
Bashar and Asmaa al-Assad are less stressed out these days.
The battle for Aleppo is over. The Assad regime and its Russian, Iranian and Shia paramilitary allies have achieved victory.

Turkey bogged down

By SARAH EL DEEB
BEIRUT (AP) — Nearly two months into the assault, Turkey has become bogged down in an unexpectedly bloody fight to retake the Islamic State group's last stronghold in northern Syria. It has been forced to pour in troops, take the lead in the battle from its Syrian allies and reach out to Russia for aerial support.

Incirlik

Incirlik is routinely unavailable to American troops

by PAUL IDDON
In January 2017, Turkey announced a potential “crisis in confidence” in its relationship with the United States. The two countries have differing objectives in the wider region and disagree signifiantly regarding support for Syrian Kurds fighting Islamic State.

Sinai, ISIS


DEBKAfile Exclusive Report 
Egyptian control of the vast Sinai Peninsula is slipping fast. After gaining virtual sway over the north and its main roads, Islamic State Caliphate terrorists are moving ahead with an ambitious plan to devour a broad stretch of land on the eastern flank of central Sinai, DEBKAfile’s military sources report.

Victoria Nuland Anastasiades

The Last Coup of Victoria Nuland
by Dimitri Konstantakopoulos VOLTAIRE NETWORK | ATHENS 

Since April 2016, US neoconservatives have been trying to change the status of Cyprus. It is for them both (1) to reunite the island (2) to deprive it of its army (3) but also to deploy the Turkish army under cover of NATO. The inevitable Victoria Nuland, who should have become Secretary of State if Hillary Clinton had been elected president, is maneuvering. This plan is supposed to tie Turkey to NATO and prevent its rapprochement with Russia.

 IRAN  MISSILES


BY REUTERS
The vote is a boost to Iran's military establishment - the regular army, the elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and defense ministry.

DUBAI - Iranian lawmakers approved plans on Monday to expand military spending to five percent of the budget, including developing the country's long-range missile program which US President-elect Donald Trump has pledged to halt.

Turkey security

The terrorists are retaliating against the Turkish government for changing its strategy in Syria, a move Ankara has made largely due to Russian pressure, Gregory Copley, editor of Defense and Foreign Affairs publications, told RT.